{"id":982,"date":"2025-05-13T14:45:06","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T12:45:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/?page_id=982"},"modified":"2025-07-09T17:42:35","modified_gmt":"2025-07-09T15:42:35","slug":"ml-crisis-prevention","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/projekte\/ml-crisis-prevention\/","title":{"rendered":"Preventive crisis management through ML forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"982\" class=\"elementor elementor-982\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-320bf98 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"320bf98\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-11126a3 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"11126a3\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-18c2b76 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"18c2b76\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-12e4135 elementor-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"12e4135\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon\">\n\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-far-calendar\" viewbox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M400 64h-48V12c0-6.6-5.4-12-12-12h-40c-6.6 0-12 5.4-12 12v52H160V12c0-6.6-5.4-12-12-12h-40c-6.6 0-12 5.4-12 12v52H48C21.5 64 0 85.5 0 112v352c0 26.5 21.5 48 48 48h352c26.5 0 48-21.5 48-48V112c0-26.5-21.5-48-48-48zm-6 400H54c-3.3 0-6-2.7-6-6V160h352v298c0 3.3-2.7 6-6 6z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6e019a7 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"6e019a7\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-95ec830 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"95ec830\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>April 2025 \u2013 September 2025<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-932d647 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"932d647\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-24a2243 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"24a2243\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-56e43a2 elementor-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"56e43a2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon\">\n\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-map-marker-alt\" viewbox=\"0 0 384 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M172.268 501.67C26.97 291.031 0 269.413 0 192 0 85.961 85.961 0 192 0s192 85.961 192 192c0 77.413-26.97 99.031-172.268 309.67-9.535 13.774-29.93 13.773-39.464 0zM192 272c44.183 0 80-35.817 80-80s-35.817-80-80-80-80 35.817-80 80 35.817 80 80 80z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-39967f3 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"39967f3\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7778f24 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7778f24\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>M\u00fcnster<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9456e3c e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"9456e3c\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69dbde2 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"69dbde2\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-749a595 elementor-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"749a595\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon\">\n\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-users\" viewbox=\"0 0 640 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M96 224c35.3 0 64-28.7 64-64s-28.7-64-64-64-64 28.7-64 64 28.7 64 64 64zm448 0c35.3 0 64-28.7 64-64s-28.7-64-64-64-64 28.7-64 64 28.7 64 64 64zm32 32h-64c-17.6 0-33.5 7.1-45.1 18.6 40.3 22.1 68.9 62 75.1 109.4h66c17.7 0 32-14.3 32-32v-32c0-35.3-28.7-64-64-64zm-256 0c61.9 0 112-50.1 112-112S381.9 32 320 32 208 82.1 208 144s50.1 112 112 112zm76.8 32h-8.3c-20.8 10-43.9 16-68.5 16s-47.6-6-68.5-16h-8.3C179.6 288 128 339.6 128 403.2V432c0 26.5 21.5 48 48 48h288c26.5 0 48-21.5 48-48v-28.8c0-63.6-51.6-115.2-115.2-115.2zm-223.7-13.4C161.5 263.1 145.6 256 128 256H64c-35.3 0-64 28.7-64 64v32c0 17.7 14.3 32 32 32h65.9c6.3-47.4 34.9-87.3 75.2-109.4z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e19ae93 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"e19ae93\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e030d93 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e030d93\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>University of M\u00fcnster, Transdev<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-37be1ec e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"37be1ec\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f87df8e elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"f87df8e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-1024x768.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-984\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/FuMoLab_SoSe25-16x12.jpg 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-46c1e4b elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"46c1e4b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Project description<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6551978 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6551978\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This innovative project focuses on the development of preventive management systems to avoid crisis situations in public transportation. In contrast to reactive approaches, which are only activated after a problem has occurred, this system uses advanced machine learning algorithms and predictive analyses to identify potential disruptions at an early stage and initiate proactive measures. Particular focus is placed on the prediction of critical water levels on transport infrastructures as well as the prediction of delay patterns and their cascading effects in the network.this innovative project focuses on the development of preventive management systems to avoid crisis situations in public transport. In contrast to reactive approaches, which are only activated after a problem has occurred, this system uses advanced machine learning algorithms and predictive analyses to detect potential disruptions at an early stage and initiate proactive measures. A particular focus is on predicting critical water levels on transport infrastructure and forecasting delay patterns and their cascading effects in the network.<\/p>\n<p>The system supports decision-makers in preventive planning in scenarios such as<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Rising water levels with potential impact on rail traffic<\/li>\n<li>Foreseeable weather-related infrastructure loads<\/li>\n<li>Early detection of developing delay patterns<\/li>\n<li>Identification of potential staff shortages before they occur<\/li>\n<li>Preventive reallocation of resources to avoid congestion situations<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>As part of the project, students are working with real operating data from Transdev to develop a transparent dashboard that visually displays decision aids and explains the underlying prediction models. This approach combines practical teaching with concrete benefits for the mobility sector and at the same time promotes the development of more explainable AI systems.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ec6b741 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"ec6b741\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Project goals<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6a37b81 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6a37b81\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Development of ML models for precise prediction of critical water levels and their development over time<\/li>\n<li>Implementation of algorithms to detect and forecast complex delay patterns and their propagation effects<\/li>\n<li>Development of a transparent decision support dashboard with explainable AI components<\/li>\n<li>Integration and processing of multiple real-time data streams from weather, traffic and operational systems, Development of an early detection framework with automated recommendations for preventive measures<\/li>\n<li>Design of an evaluation system to continuously improve the quality of forecasts and the effectiveness of measures<\/li>\n<li>Evaluation of the economic and operational benefits of preventive versus reactive management approaches<\/li>\n<li>Creation of a user-friendly interface for seamless integration into existing operational processes<\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-377e05f elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"377e05f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Project team<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c1c5324 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c1c5324\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Students<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8650ce1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8650ce1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vaibhavi Balbadri<\/li>\n<li>Catrina Carrigan<\/li>\n<li>Umer Farooq<\/li>\n<li>Luca Gyhr<\/li>\n<li>Kateryna Rusnyak<\/li>\n<li>Ganesh Sahu<\/li>\n<li>Joelle Schneemann<\/li>\n<li>Marius Schweitzer<\/li>\n<li>Jan S\u00fc\u00dfmann<\/li>\n<li>Jonas von Werne<\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c7353f3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c7353f3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Supervisor<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-de2620c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"de2620c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mara Burger<\/li>\n<li>Jan vom Brocke<\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>April 2025 \u2013 September 2025 M\u00fcnster Universit\u00e4t M\u00fcnster, Transdev Projektbeschreibung Dieses innovative Projekt konzentriert sich auf die Entwicklung pr\u00e4ventiver Managementsysteme zur Vermeidung von Krisensituationen im \u00f6ffentlichen Nahverkehr. Im Gegensatz zu reaktiven Ans\u00e4tzen, die erst nach Eintreten eines Problems aktiviert werden, nutzt dieses System fortschrittliche Machine-Learning-Algorithmen und pr\u00e4diktive Analysen, um potenzielle St\u00f6rungen fr\u00fchzeitig zu erkennen und [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":14,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-982","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/982","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=982"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/982\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6500,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/982\/revisions\/6500"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/14"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuremobilitylabs.eu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=982"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}